Thoughts from the Frontline

Highly acclaimed free weekly investment and economic newsletter

"If you're not reading John Mauldin, you should be."

&8212;G. Gilder

John Mauldin is a renowned financial expert, a New York Times best-selling author, and a pioneering online commentator. Each week, over 1 million readers turn to Mauldin for his penetrating view on Wall Street, global markets, and economic history.

Join our 1 million readers today!

Start My Free Subscription

Reader Comments

"You are the most thought provoking, balanced and direct analyst I know of. I'm sure glad I read you several years ago and started following you."

—J.F.

"You really do have a fine ability to explain technical matters in an understandable way a very rare gift indeed!"

—M.A.

"I enjoy your letters more than anything I receive from my other email. I just enjoy the intellectual, friendly banter."

—D.B.

"Everyone I've referred to your newsletter loves it. You should take this show on the road."

—R.S.

"Your weekly e-letters are the most important investment document I receive each week."

—T.M.

"My wife and I have been reading your report since 2000. We have enjoyed reading every report. Thank you for being so honest, candid, and open with your readers."

—G.H.

"I just wanted to let you know how much I appreciate your letter. I look forward to it every week. There are not many blogs or investment letters I trust but yours is one. I also like the fact that you are regular guy, a bright one, yes, but one I can identify with."

—M.B.

"During this volatile and unpredictable stock market, John provides some brilliant insights about what is really going on in the economy, both nationally—and globally. Every investor should receive this FREE weekly E-Letter."

—B.K.

The readers comments are specifically in reference to Thoughts From the Frontline e-letter published by InvestorsInsight Publishing, Inc. These comments in no way are testimonials or comments on the investment advisory firm Millennium Wave Advisors, LLC. For privacy policy reasons initials have been used for each reader's comment.

Latest Issue

On the Verge of Chaos

November 24, 2014

“Great powers and empires are, I would suggest, complex systems, made up of a very large number of interacting components that are asymmetrically organized, which means their construction more resembles a termite hill than an Egyptian pyramid. They operate somewhere between order and disorder – on “the edge of chaos,” in the phrase of the computer scientist Christopher Langton. Such systems can appear to operate quite stably for some time; they seem to be in equilibrium but are, in fact, constantly adapting. But there comes a moment when complex systems “go critical.” A very small trigger can set off a “phase transition” from a benign equilibrium to a crisis – a single grain of sand causes a whole pile to collapse, or a butterfly flaps its wings in the Amazon and brings about a hurricane in southeastern England.

“Not long after such crises happen, historians arrive on the scene. They are the scholars who specialize in the study of “fat tail” events – the low-frequency, high-impact moments that inhabit the tails of probability distributions, such as wars, revolutions, financial crashes, and imperial collapses. But historians often misunderstand complexity in decoding these events. They are trained to explain calamity in terms of long-term causes, often dating back decades. This is what Nassim Taleb rightly condemned in The Black Swan as “the narrative fallacy”: the construction of psychologically satisfying stories on the principle of post hoc, ergo propter hoc.

– Niall...

Read Full Newsletter

Connect With Mauldin